Clouds roll in tomorrow, rain waits off until Monday night.

The first of two storms will move into northern California tomorrow.  That system will deplete most of its energy on pushing the high pressure area out of the way and won’t have much by way of any rain.  Most of the leftover moisture will also get squeezed out by the mountains to our west leaving maybe 1/100th of an inch of rain for the valley.  We’ll see clouds through Tuesday as well but won’t see any more rain aside from a few early morning sprinkles.  Don’t expect much past about 10am. 

Wednesday will see the clouds increase through the day with a full overcast near noon.  The clouds will thicken to the point of rain falling across the entirety of the NorthState by Wednesday evening and that rain will stick around through Thursday.  There are still some questions with this storm, like just how much rain we’ll get and who will get the most.  The GFS and ECMWF are still fighting over where exactly to put the most rain.  The bulls eyes keep shifting north and south along with the intensity of the rain.  Run to run there isn’t much consistency aside from some type of precipitation event moving in.  One thing that has remained consistent is the general temperature… it will be a warm storm.  That will push snow levels pretty high, around 6-7,000 feet to begin falling to around 4,000 ft when the precipitation ends.

Beyond that there is more fighting.  The Euro is keeping a decent trough over the west coast and keeps cycling systems through northern California, whereas the GFS brings the ridge back in.  Normally the Euro is more accurate, but this year I have my doubts.  We’ll have to watch these systems closely.

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And be sure to tune in for your latest forecast with Rob Elvington tomorrow morning on the KRCR News Channel 7 News Daybreak starting at 5am.